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Andreas Leigers

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Deutsche Telekom raises EBITDA and cash flow guidance after customer growth in the third quarter of 2018

  • Full-year adjusted EBITDA expected to be around 23.6 billion euros and full-year free cash flow around 6.3 billion euros
  • Revenue grows 4.7 percent in the third quarter to 19.1 billion euros
  • Adjusted EBITDA 8.5 percent higher at 6.2 billion euros
  • All operating segments contributing to growth
  • Deutsche Telekom clear market leader in the German mobile business
  • T-Mobile US once again delivers strongest growth in the U.S. mobile communications market
  • Growth in Europe gains momentum
  • Slight improvements at T-Systems

After a strong third quarter, with substantial customer growth and higher earnings across all operating segments, Deutsche Telekom is raising its full-year EBITDA guidance for the third time this year and, for the first time, its expectation for free cash flow. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to reach around 23.6 billion euros, after a forecast figure of around 23.2 billion euros at the start of the financial year. Deutsche Telekom expects to post free cash flow of around 6.3 billion euros, up from the previous forecast of around 6.2 billion euros.

“Things are looking up in all areas of the Group,” said Tim Höttges, CEO of Deutsche Telekom, “and that enables us to set the bar a fraction higher. It sends a very optimistic signal.”

Net revenue of the Group increased by 4.7 percent year-on-year to 19.1 billion euros in the third quarter of 2018. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 8.5 percent to 6.2 billion euros. At 1.9 billion euros, free cash flow increased by 0.5 percent against the third quarter of 2017. In the first nine months of the year, there was a clear increase in free cash flow of 8.5 percent.

There was a positive trend in adjusted net profit, which rose 6.2 percent to 1.3 billion euros in the third quarter. At 1.1 billion euros, reported net profit was up 118.9 percent and thus more than twice as high year-on-year. This increase was due to major special factors – which were negative on balance – that impacted the third-quarter figure in 2017 and did not occur in the same magnitude in the third quarter of 2018.

Germany – network build-out remains the key to success

Deutsche Telekom’s ongoing efforts to build out its network in Germany are paying off, and the company is already able to offer fiber-optic products (FTTH, FTTC/vectoring) at 75 percent of its fixed-network lines, up from 67 percent a year ago. In the mobile communications segment, 98 percent of the population is now covered by the LTE mobile communications standard.

More powerful networks like these are a magnet for customers. As of the end of September, the number of fiber-optic customers had risen by 30 percent year-on-year to 11.6 million. In the third quarter alone, 67,000 new customers opted for broadband products from Deutsche Telekom. Convergent fixed-network and mobile products are playing a key role in this trend, too. More than 4 million customers already use products of this kind from the MagentaEINS portfolio, up 14.1 percent on the previous year. MagentaEINS users now account for 47 percent of branded mobile contract customers, up from 40 percent as of the end of September 2017.

Customer growth and a broader product portfolio are also increasing revenue. Mobile service revenues again grew markedly. With growth of 3.1 percent year-on-year on a comparable basis, Deutsche Telekom reaffirmed its leadership role in mobile communications in the German market. Due to changes in accounting standards, revenue in the Germany operating segment declined by a slight 0.9 percent to 5.4 billion euros in the third quarter. At the same time, adjusted EBITDA rose by 2.1 percent to 2.2 billion euros.

United States – record figures in the third quarter

The Un-carrier continues to go from strength to strength. Announcement of the planned merger with its competitor Sprint (regulatory approval of which is still outstanding) did not slow T-Mobile US’ business performance. In fact, the company continues to post record figures. Total revenue increased 8.0 percent year-on-year to 10.7 billion U.S. dollars in the third quarter. Service revenues grew 5.9 percent to 7.9 billion U.S. dollars. At the same time, adjusted EBITDA increased 15.7 percent to 3.1 billion U.S. dollars.

T-Mobile US added more than 1.6 million customers in the third quarter – its 22nd consecutive quarter of million-plus growth – reaching a total customer base of 77.2 million as of the end of September. T-Mobile US leads the industry in many key indicators, one of the most notable being the number of branded postpaid telephony customers, which grew by 774,000 in the third quarter.

For many customers, network quality remains a strong argument for switching to T-Mobile US: Coverage was further enhanced in the third quarter, while tests confirmed the company’s superior LTE upload and download speeds compared with its competitors.

Europe remains on a growth trajectory

The European subsidiaries continue to deliver sustained growth, posting the third increase in their key quarterly figures this year. In organic terms – i.e., adjusted for changes in the composition of the Group and exchange rate effects – revenue rose 2.2 percent to 3.0 billion euros in the third quarter. Adjusted EBITDA grew 3.6 percent in organic terms to 1.1 billion euros. Due to the inclusion of UPC Austria in the consolidated financial statements as of July 31, 2018, reported revenue (3.4 percent) and reported adjusted EBITDA (5.5 percent) were even higher.

Growth in convergent fixed-network and mobile products remains unbroken. As of the end of September 2018, 2.9 million customers used products of this kind, up 46 percent year-on-year. In the third quarter alone, 229,000 new customers signed up. The number of mobile contract customers – adjusted for the effects of the consolidation of UPC – continued to rise as well: It increased by 297,000 in the third quarter, while 61,000 broadband customers and 35,000 TV customers were added.

Systems Solutions – slight increase in revenue and earnings

T-Systems’ financial indicators were better in the third quarter of 2018 than a year earlier. Revenue increased 2.8 percent to 1.8 billion euros. At 139 million euros, adjusted EBITDA was 6.1 percent higher year-on-year, while adjusted EBIT grew by 2 million euros or 5.3 percent to 40 million euros. One of the factors in this increase was the positive trend in growth areas like cloud computing, SAP services, and the Internet of Things (IoT).

Order entry fell 3.1 percent to 1.3 billion euros in the third quarter, but rose 18.7 percent to 4.7 billion euros over the first nine months. One of the key events in the reporting period was the expansion of the data center in Biere: The construction project was completed after only 18 months, increasing cloud capacity at the site by 150 percent.

The Deutsche Telekom Group at a glance:



Q3

2018

millions of

Q3

2017

millions of

Change

%

Q1-Q3 2018

millions of

Q1-Q3

2017

millions of

Change

%

FY 2017

millions of

Revenue

19,104

18,251

4.7

55,395

55,787

-0.7

74,947

Proportion generated internationally in %

68.1

66.4

1.7p

67.5

67.3

0.2p

67.2

EBITDA

5,874

7,318

-19.7

16,699

19,267

-13.3

23,969

Adjusted EBITDA

6,207

5,720

8.5

17,684

17,215

2.7

22,230

Net profit

1,110

507

n.a.

2,597

2,129

22.0

3,461

Adjusted net profit

1,321

1,244

6.2

3,749

3,382

10.9

6,039

Free cash flowa

1,883

1,873

0.5

4,779

4,403

8.5

5,497

Cash capexb

3,117

3,021

3.2

9,351

16,541

-43.5

19,494

Cash capexb

(before spectrum)

3,047

3,002

1.5

9,143

9,240

-1.0

12,100

Net debt




55,473

52,635

5.4

50,791

Number of employeesc




216,606

216,343

0.1

217,349

Comments on the table:
The new accounting standards IFRS 15 “Revenue from Contracts with Customers” and IFRS 9 “Financial Instruments” took effect as of January 1, 2018. Prior-year comparatives were not adjusted. Application of these standards did not have any material effect on the Group’s results of operations.
a Before dividend payments and spectrum investment.
b Cash outflows for investments in property, plant and equipment, and intangible assets (excluding goodwill).
c At the reporting date.

Operating segments:



Q3

2018

millions of

Q3

2017

millions of

Change

%

Q1-Q3 2018

millions of

Q1-Q3

2017

millions of

Change

%

FY 2017

millions of

Germany








Total revenue

5,441

5,488

-0.9

16,088

16,256

-1.0

21,931

EBITDA

2,093

2,102

-0.4

5,949

6,089

-2.3

8,104

Adjusted EBITDA

2,222

2,177

2.1

6,430

6,318

1.8

8,412

Number of employeesa




63,433

65,274

-2.8

64,798

United States








Total revenue

9,227

8,466

9.0

26,504

26,684

-0.7

35,736

US-$

10,730

9,939

8.0

31,634

29,653

6.7

40,316

EBITDA

2,610

3,934

-33.7

7,492

8,960

-16.4

10,949

Adjusted EBITDA

2,665

2,288

16.5

7,551

7,313

3.3

9,316

US-$

3,100

2,680

15.7

9,012

8,119

11.0

10,479

Europeb








Total revenue

3,045

2,945

3.4

8,752

8,587

1.9

11,589

EBITDA

1,041

959

8.6

2,853

2,749

3.8

3,619

Adjusted EBITDA

1,062

1,007

5.5

2,926

2,843

2.9

3,749

Systems Solutions








Order entry

1,324

1,366

-3.1

4,672

3,936

18.7

5,241

Total revenue

1,754

1,707

2.8

5,094

5,099

-0.1

6,918

Adjusted EBIT margin
(%)

2.3

2.2

0

0.5

1.5

-1.0

1.7

EBITDA

85

56

51.8

175

214

-18.2

280

Adjusted EBITDA

139

131

6.1

318

362

-12.2

509

Comments on the table:
The new accounting standards IFRS 15 “Revenue from Contracts with Customers” and IFRS 9 “Financial Instruments” took effect as of January 1, 2018. Prior-year comparatives were not adjusted. Application of these standards did not have any material effect on the Group’s results of operations.
a At the reporting date.
b Inclusion of UPC Austria as of July 31, 2018. Prior-year comparatives have not been adjusted.

Development of customer numbers
Operating segments: Development of customer numbers in the third quarter of 2018


Sept. 30, 2018

thousands

June 30, 2018

thousands

Change

thousands

Change

%

Germany





Mobile customers

43,646

43,023

623

1.4

Of which contract customers

25,179

24,965

214

0.9

Fixed-network lines

18,809

18,989

-180

-0.9

Of which retail IP-based

14,493

13,629

864

6.3

Broadband lines

13,504

13,437

67

0.5

Of which optical fibera

6,896

6,559

337

5.1

Television (IPTV, satellite)

3,291

3,240

51

1.6

Unbundled local loop lines (ULLs)

5,402

5,587

-185

-3.3

United States





Mobile customers

77,249

75,619

1,630

2.2

Of which branded postpaid customers

41,161

40,082

1,079

2.7

Of which branded prepay customers

21,002

20,967

35

0.2

Europeb





Mobile customers

50,429

49,886

543

1.1

Of which contract customers

26,402

26,022

380

1.5

Fixed-network lines

9,034

8,414

620

7.4

Of which IP-based

7,114

6,235

879

14.1

Broadband customersc

6,293

5,671

622

11.0

Television (IPTV, satellite, cable)

4,782

4,293

489

11.4

Comments on the table:
a Sum of all FTTx access lines (e.g., FTTC/VDSL, vectoring, and FTTH).
b Inclusion of UPC Austria as of July 31, 2018. Prior-year comparatives have not been adjusted.
c Starting in Q2/2018, we no longer report the number of retail broadband lines from a technical perspective. Instead, we report the number of broadband customers. Prior-year comparatives have been adjusted.

Operating segments: Development of customer numbers in year-on-year comparison


Sept. 30, 2018
thousands

Sept. 30, 2017
thousands

Change

thousands

Change

%

Germany





Mobile customers

43,646

42,534

1,112

2.6

Of which contract customers

25,179

25,452

-273

-1.1

Fixed-network lines

18,809

19,352

-543

-2.8

Of which retail IP-based

14,493

11,177

3,316

29.7

Broadband lines

13,504

13,105

399

3.0

Of which optical fibera

6,896

5,417

1,479

27.3

Television (IPTV, satellite)

3,291

3,089

202

6.5

Unbundled local loop lines (ULLs)

5,402

6,417

-1,015

-15.8

United States





Mobile customers

77,249

70,731

6,518

9.2

Of which branded postpaid customers

41,161

36,975

4,186

11.3

Of which branded prepay customers

21,002

20,519

483

2.4

Europeb





Mobile customers

50,429

48,205

2,224

4.6

Of which contract customers

26,402

25,119

1,283

5.1

Fixed-network lines

9,034

8,422

612

7.3

Of which IP-based

7,114

5,555

1,559

28.1

Broadband customersc

6,293

5,457

836

15.3

Television (IPTV, satellite, cable)

4,782

4,200

582

13.9

Comments on the table:
a Sum of all FTTx access lines (e.g., FTTC/VDSL, vectoring, and FTTH).
b Inclusion of UPC Austria as of July 31, 2018. Prior-year comparatives have not been adjusted.
c Starting in Q2/2018, we no longer report the number of retail broadband lines from a technical perspective. Instead, we report the number of broadband customers. Prior-year comparatives have been adjusted.

This media information contains forward-looking statements that reflect the current views of Deutsche Telekom management with respect to future events. These forward-looking statements include statements with regard to the expected development of revenue, earnings, profits from operations, depreciation and amortization, cash flows, and personnel-related measures. They should therefore be considered with caution. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and are generally beyond Deutsche Telekom's control. Among the factors that might influence Deutsche Telekom's ability to achieve its objectives are the progress of its staff restructuring initiatives and other cost-saving measures, and the impact of other significant strategic, labor, or business initiatives, including acquisitions, dispositions, business combinations, and network upgrade and build-out initiatives. In addition, stronger than expected competition, technological change, legal proceedings, and regulatory developments, among other factors, may have a material adverse effect on cost and revenue development. Further, an economic downturn in the markets, and changes in interest and currency exchange rates, may also have an impact on Deutsche Telekom's business development and the availability of financing on favorable conditions. Changes to Deutsche Telekom's expectations concerning future cash flows may lead to impairment write downs of assets carried at historical cost, which may materially affect the results at the Group and operating segment levels. If these or other risks and uncertainties materialize, or if the assumptions underlying any of these statements prove incorrect, the actual performance may materially differ from the performance expressed or implied by forward-looking statements. There is no assurance that the estimates or expectations will be achieved. Without prejudice to existing obligations under capital market law, Deutsche Telekom does not assume any obligation to update forward-looking statements to take new information or future events into account or otherwise.
In addition to figures prepared in accordance with IFRS, Deutsche Telekom also presents alternative performance measures, including, among others, EBITDA, EBITDA margin, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted EBIT, adjusted net profit, free cash flow, gross debt, and net debt. These performance measures should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, the information prepared in accordance with IFRS. Alternative performance measures are not subject to IFRS or any other generally accepted accounting principles. Other companies may define these terms in different ways.

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