Picture Consensus

Consensus

Prior the the publication of the quarterly results, Deutsche Telekom provides a detailed consensus for the upcoming quarterly results, the current financial year and the next four years.

The following consensus numbers are as of October 29, 2024, 16 days before the Q2 results.

(€ millions)

Q3

FY24FY25FY26FY27

FY28

Revenues28,470114,604

118,612

122,650126,492129,828
EBITDA AL* (adjusted)

11,045

42,95544,85347,61549,89752,234
Cash capex

3,718

15,90216,40616,62616,91117,052
Free cashflow AL*
(before dividend payout)

5,471

18,947

19,78320,41921,24122,913
Net debt (incl. leasing obligations)

132,117

132,392139,138139,455137,664133,856
Net debt (excl. leasing obligations)

94,012

95,33796,47495,82595,38888,600
Net income (adjusted)

2,396

8,8859,46610,55411,39412,446

* AL = After Leases (IFRS 16)

(€)

Q3

FY24

FY25

FY26

FY27

FY28

Earnings per share (adjusted)

0.49

1.811.982.222.522.76

Dividends per share

0.90

1.00

1.12

1.25

1.37

Consensus-Teaser

Detailed consensus (60 lines)

All details like
-segment data (financial and operational KPIs)
-high/low and the number of included analysts for every estimate
available in these documents:

Consensus (pdf, 198.3 KB)
Consensus in excel format (xlsx, 52.2 KB)

Deutsche Telekom will start to collect the usual sell side analyst estimates for Q3 Monday 14th Oct.2024.

The following points DT has given analysts to remind when compiling their projections:

  • Net debt effects
    • FX: As always, please keep in mind that each $1cent corresponds to approximately €1bn incremental net debt. Spectrum: The FCC has approved T-Mobile’s purchase of $3.5bn of spectrum from Columbia. In Q3, we already executed $2.4bn and plan to execute another tranche of $0.5bn in Q4, with the remainder in 2025.
    • DT buyback: DT has announced that it will buy back up to €2bn of its own shares in 2024. As of 28 June we had bought back c. 42.7m shares at a cost of €0.95bn. As of 30 September we had bought back c. 64.2m shares at a cost of €1.5bn.
    • TMUS dividend: In Q3 we received $0.3bn.
    • TMUS SBB: As per the last filings, T-Mobile bought back cumulatively c. 150m shares for $22.1bn by 30 June 2024, with c. 14m shares for $2.3bn in Q2. Since 29 June, DT did not sell TMUS shares alongside the TMUS buyback.
  • Other
    • Please consider our extensive guidance provided at the 2024 CMD on 10/11 October 2024.
    • Please note that TMUS will report their Q3 results on October 23rd.

Please see detailed time schedule for compilation of consensus

Deadline for Submission:

EOB Thursday, October 17th 2024

Individual Feedback period:

Monday, October 21th 2024 onwards

Start of Quiet Period:

October, 25th 2024

Publication of Consensus:

EOB Tuesday, October 29th 2024 at the latest

Publication of Results:                    

Thursday, November 14th 2024

Consensus files for previous quarters are available on the page for the quarterly results and the download page.

Background on the consensus and disclaimer

The consensus is the median of all available and meaningful estimates from equity analysts on Deutsche Telekom's future financials.

Our detailed review of all submitted estimates ensures the highest possible data quality. We make sure, that all estimates are based on the same definitions and reflect the latest structural changes in Deutsche Telekom. Moreover we remind every analyst of the latest relevant publicly known news. Thus the data quality of this consensus is higher than automated compiled consensi from third parties like Visible Alpha, Blomberg, Factset etc.

This document has been issued by Deutsche Telekom AG for information purposes only and is not intended to constitute investment advice. It is based on estimates and forecasts of various analysts regarding our revenues, earnings and business developments. Such estimates and forecasts cannot be independently verified by reason of the subjective character. Deutsche Telekom gives no guarantee, representation or warranty and is not responsible or liable as to its accuracy and completeness.

Picture results Deutsche Telekom AG

Financial results third quarter 2024

On Thursday, November 14, 2024 Deutsche Telekom will publish its results for Q3 2024.

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